Easy weather forecast space shirt4/1/2024 ![]() ![]() If someone asked you the probability that the Seattle Mariners would win their next baseball game, it would be impossible to conduct an experiment where the same two teams played each other repeatedly, each time with the same starting lineup and starting pitchers, each starting at the same time of day on the same field under the precisely the same conditions. Subjective in nature, in other words an educated guess. When a weather reporter says “there is a 10% chance of rain tomorrow,” she is basing that on prior evidence that out of all days with similar weather patterns, it has rained on 1 out of 10 of those days. Suppose we flipped a coin over and over and over again and it came up heads about half of the time we would expect that in the future whenever we flipped the coin it would turn up heads about half of the time. One would beĮxperimental in nature, where we repeatedly conduct an experiment. There are several ways of viewing probability. The probability of a specified event is the chance or likelihood that it will occur. ![]()
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